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Original Articles

The mobility gap: estimating mobility thresholds required to control SARS-CoV-2 in Canada

Kevin A. Brown, Jean-Paul R. Soucy, Sarah A. Buchan, Shelby L. Sturrock, Isha Berry, Nathan M. Stall, Peter Jüni, Amir Ghasemi, Nicholas Gibb, Derek R. MacFadden and Nick Daneman
CMAJ April 07, 2021 cmaj.210132; DOI: https://doi.org/10.1503/cmaj.210132
Kevin A. Brown
Public Health Ontario (Brown, Buchan, Daneman); Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Brown, Soucy, Buchan, Sturrock, Berry), and The Institute for Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation (Stall, Jüni, Daneman), University of Toronto; Applied Health Research Centre, St. Michael’s Hospital (Jüni); Sinai Health System and the University Health Network (Stall); Women’s College Hospital (Stall); Department of Medicine (Stall, Daneman), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Communications Research Centre Canada (Ghasemi); Public Health Agency of Canada (Gibb); Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (MacFadden), Ottawa, Ont.; Division of Infectious Diseases (Daneman), Sunnybrook Research Institute, Toronto, Ont.
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Jean-Paul R. Soucy
Public Health Ontario (Brown, Buchan, Daneman); Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Brown, Soucy, Buchan, Sturrock, Berry), and The Institute for Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation (Stall, Jüni, Daneman), University of Toronto; Applied Health Research Centre, St. Michael’s Hospital (Jüni); Sinai Health System and the University Health Network (Stall); Women’s College Hospital (Stall); Department of Medicine (Stall, Daneman), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Communications Research Centre Canada (Ghasemi); Public Health Agency of Canada (Gibb); Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (MacFadden), Ottawa, Ont.; Division of Infectious Diseases (Daneman), Sunnybrook Research Institute, Toronto, Ont.
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Sarah A. Buchan
Public Health Ontario (Brown, Buchan, Daneman); Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Brown, Soucy, Buchan, Sturrock, Berry), and The Institute for Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation (Stall, Jüni, Daneman), University of Toronto; Applied Health Research Centre, St. Michael’s Hospital (Jüni); Sinai Health System and the University Health Network (Stall); Women’s College Hospital (Stall); Department of Medicine (Stall, Daneman), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Communications Research Centre Canada (Ghasemi); Public Health Agency of Canada (Gibb); Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (MacFadden), Ottawa, Ont.; Division of Infectious Diseases (Daneman), Sunnybrook Research Institute, Toronto, Ont.
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Shelby L. Sturrock
Public Health Ontario (Brown, Buchan, Daneman); Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Brown, Soucy, Buchan, Sturrock, Berry), and The Institute for Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation (Stall, Jüni, Daneman), University of Toronto; Applied Health Research Centre, St. Michael’s Hospital (Jüni); Sinai Health System and the University Health Network (Stall); Women’s College Hospital (Stall); Department of Medicine (Stall, Daneman), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Communications Research Centre Canada (Ghasemi); Public Health Agency of Canada (Gibb); Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (MacFadden), Ottawa, Ont.; Division of Infectious Diseases (Daneman), Sunnybrook Research Institute, Toronto, Ont.
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Isha Berry
Public Health Ontario (Brown, Buchan, Daneman); Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Brown, Soucy, Buchan, Sturrock, Berry), and The Institute for Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation (Stall, Jüni, Daneman), University of Toronto; Applied Health Research Centre, St. Michael’s Hospital (Jüni); Sinai Health System and the University Health Network (Stall); Women’s College Hospital (Stall); Department of Medicine (Stall, Daneman), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Communications Research Centre Canada (Ghasemi); Public Health Agency of Canada (Gibb); Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (MacFadden), Ottawa, Ont.; Division of Infectious Diseases (Daneman), Sunnybrook Research Institute, Toronto, Ont.
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Nathan M. Stall
Public Health Ontario (Brown, Buchan, Daneman); Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Brown, Soucy, Buchan, Sturrock, Berry), and The Institute for Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation (Stall, Jüni, Daneman), University of Toronto; Applied Health Research Centre, St. Michael’s Hospital (Jüni); Sinai Health System and the University Health Network (Stall); Women’s College Hospital (Stall); Department of Medicine (Stall, Daneman), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Communications Research Centre Canada (Ghasemi); Public Health Agency of Canada (Gibb); Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (MacFadden), Ottawa, Ont.; Division of Infectious Diseases (Daneman), Sunnybrook Research Institute, Toronto, Ont.
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Peter Jüni
Public Health Ontario (Brown, Buchan, Daneman); Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Brown, Soucy, Buchan, Sturrock, Berry), and The Institute for Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation (Stall, Jüni, Daneman), University of Toronto; Applied Health Research Centre, St. Michael’s Hospital (Jüni); Sinai Health System and the University Health Network (Stall); Women’s College Hospital (Stall); Department of Medicine (Stall, Daneman), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Communications Research Centre Canada (Ghasemi); Public Health Agency of Canada (Gibb); Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (MacFadden), Ottawa, Ont.; Division of Infectious Diseases (Daneman), Sunnybrook Research Institute, Toronto, Ont.
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Amir Ghasemi
Public Health Ontario (Brown, Buchan, Daneman); Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Brown, Soucy, Buchan, Sturrock, Berry), and The Institute for Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation (Stall, Jüni, Daneman), University of Toronto; Applied Health Research Centre, St. Michael’s Hospital (Jüni); Sinai Health System and the University Health Network (Stall); Women’s College Hospital (Stall); Department of Medicine (Stall, Daneman), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Communications Research Centre Canada (Ghasemi); Public Health Agency of Canada (Gibb); Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (MacFadden), Ottawa, Ont.; Division of Infectious Diseases (Daneman), Sunnybrook Research Institute, Toronto, Ont.
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Nicholas Gibb
Public Health Ontario (Brown, Buchan, Daneman); Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Brown, Soucy, Buchan, Sturrock, Berry), and The Institute for Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation (Stall, Jüni, Daneman), University of Toronto; Applied Health Research Centre, St. Michael’s Hospital (Jüni); Sinai Health System and the University Health Network (Stall); Women’s College Hospital (Stall); Department of Medicine (Stall, Daneman), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Communications Research Centre Canada (Ghasemi); Public Health Agency of Canada (Gibb); Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (MacFadden), Ottawa, Ont.; Division of Infectious Diseases (Daneman), Sunnybrook Research Institute, Toronto, Ont.
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Derek R. MacFadden
Public Health Ontario (Brown, Buchan, Daneman); Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Brown, Soucy, Buchan, Sturrock, Berry), and The Institute for Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation (Stall, Jüni, Daneman), University of Toronto; Applied Health Research Centre, St. Michael’s Hospital (Jüni); Sinai Health System and the University Health Network (Stall); Women’s College Hospital (Stall); Department of Medicine (Stall, Daneman), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Communications Research Centre Canada (Ghasemi); Public Health Agency of Canada (Gibb); Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (MacFadden), Ottawa, Ont.; Division of Infectious Diseases (Daneman), Sunnybrook Research Institute, Toronto, Ont.
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Nick Daneman
Public Health Ontario (Brown, Buchan, Daneman); Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Brown, Soucy, Buchan, Sturrock, Berry), and The Institute for Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation (Stall, Jüni, Daneman), University of Toronto; Applied Health Research Centre, St. Michael’s Hospital (Jüni); Sinai Health System and the University Health Network (Stall); Women’s College Hospital (Stall); Department of Medicine (Stall, Daneman), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Communications Research Centre Canada (Ghasemi); Public Health Agency of Canada (Gibb); Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (MacFadden), Ottawa, Ont.; Division of Infectious Diseases (Daneman), Sunnybrook Research Institute, Toronto, Ont.
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Article Information

cmaj.210132
DOI 
https://doi.org/10.1503/cmaj.210132
PubMed 
33827852
History 
  • Published online April 7, 2021.
Copyright & Usage 
Joule Inc. or its licensors. This is an Open Access article distributed in accordance with the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY-NCND 4.0) license, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided that the original publication is properly cited, the use is non-commercial (i.e., research or educational use), and no modifications or adaptations are made. See: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Author Information

  1. Kevin A. Brown, PhD,
  2. Jean-Paul R. Soucy, MSc,
  3. Sarah A. Buchan, PhD,
  4. Shelby L. Sturrock, MSc,
  5. Isha Berry, MSc,
  6. Nathan M. Stall, MD,
  7. Peter Jüni, MD,
  8. Amir Ghasemi, PhD,
  9. Nicholas Gibb, MSc,
  10. Derek R. MacFadden, MD,
  11. Nick Daneman, MD
  1. Public Health Ontario (Brown, Buchan, Daneman); Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Brown, Soucy, Buchan, Sturrock, Berry), and The Institute for Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation (Stall, Jüni, Daneman), University of Toronto; Applied Health Research Centre, St. Michael’s Hospital (Jüni); Sinai Health System and the University Health Network (Stall); Women’s College Hospital (Stall); Department of Medicine (Stall, Daneman), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Communications Research Centre Canada (Ghasemi); Public Health Agency of Canada (Gibb); Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (MacFadden), Ottawa, Ont.; Division of Infectious Diseases (Daneman), Sunnybrook Research Institute, Toronto, Ont.
  1. Kevin Brown, Email kevin.brown{at}utoronto.ca
  2. Nick Daneman, Email nick.daneman{at}sunnybrook.ca

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Canadian Medical Association Journal: 193 (15)
CMAJ
Vol. 193, Issue 15
12 Apr 2021
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The mobility gap: estimating mobility thresholds required to control SARS-CoV-2 in Canada
Kevin A. Brown, Jean-Paul R. Soucy, Sarah A. Buchan, Shelby L. Sturrock, Isha Berry, Nathan M. Stall, Peter Jüni, Amir Ghasemi, Nicholas Gibb, Derek R. MacFadden, Nick Daneman
CMAJ Apr 2021, cmaj.210132; DOI: 10.1503/cmaj.210132

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The mobility gap: estimating mobility thresholds required to control SARS-CoV-2 in Canada
Kevin A. Brown, Jean-Paul R. Soucy, Sarah A. Buchan, Shelby L. Sturrock, Isha Berry, Nathan M. Stall, Peter Jüni, Amir Ghasemi, Nicholas Gibb, Derek R. MacFadden, Nick Daneman
CMAJ Apr 2021, cmaj.210132; DOI: 10.1503/cmaj.210132
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