Cardiology/original researchIncreasing US Emergency Department Visit Rates and Subsequent Hospital Admissions for Atrial Fibrillation from 1993 to 2004
Introduction
Atrial fibrillation is the most common significant cardiac arrhythmia encountered by physicians, and it is associated with significant morbidity and mortality.1, 2, 3, 4 In the United States, there are an estimated 2.3 million adults with atrial fibrillation, or approximately 0.95% of the population.5 Several studies have shown that prevalence increases with age, from 0.1% among those younger than age 55 years to 9% among those age 80 years or older. With the increasing age of the baby boomer population, the prevalence of atrial fibrillation in the United States is expected to increase dramatically. Go et al5 projected that the number of patients with atrial fibrillation will increase to more than 5.6 million by 2050. Already, a substantial increase in the number of hospitalizations for atrial fibrillation has been observed, with hospitalizations increasing 2- to 3-fold from 1985 to 1999.6 Furthermore, hospitalized patients with acute atrial fibrillation as the primary diagnosis had a mean length of stay of 4 days, resulting in mean hospital charges of approximately $7,000.7 Thus, as the prevalence of atrial fibrillation increases with our aging population, the number of hospitalizations and, consequently, the costs of treating patients with atrial fibrillation are expected to continue to increase.
Little is known about the impact of the growing prevalence of atrial fibrillation on emergency departments (EDs) in the United States. Defining ED management and admission patterns will be essential for planning interventions that may safely ease costs and lead to improved outcomes.
In this study, we seek to shed light on recent trends in ED visits for atrial fibrillation by examining the clinical epidemiology of such visits on a national level during a 12-year period, including analysis of visit rates and ED treatments, as well as rates and possible predictors of hospital admission.
Section snippets
Study Design
All data from the ED component of the National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey (NHAMCS) from 1993 to 2004 were combined for analysis.8, 9 NHAMCS is a 4-stage probability sample of hospital visits. NHAMCS is conducted annually and covers geographic primary sampling units, hospitals within primary sampling units, EDs within hospitals, and patients within EDs.
Setting and Selection of Participants
The setting of the NHAMCS is a random sample of all EDs in noninstitutional general and short-stay hospitals, excluding federal,
Results
From 1993 to 2004, there were approximately 2.7 million (95% CI 2.4 to 3.0 million) ED visits in the United States with a primary diagnosis of atrial fibrillation, estimated from 750 observed ED visits for atrial fibrillation in the NHAMCS sample (Table 1). ED visit rates for atrial fibrillation increased with age, ranging from 0.2 per 1,000 US population for those younger than 50 years to 6.7 per 1,000 US population for those aged 80 years and older. Visits for atrial fibrillation tended to be
Limitations
There are several potential limitations of our study. One limitation is that we considered atrial fibrillation as the reason for an ED visit only if atrial fibrillation was listed as the primary diagnosis on the NHAMCS data collection form. It is possible that some ED visits with atrial fibrillation listed as a secondary or tertiary diagnosis were due mainly to atrial fibrillation, which may have led us to underestimate the total number of ED visits attributable to atrial fibrillation and,
Discussion
The overall prevalence of atrial fibrillation will continue to increase as US baby boomers age.5 Already, the number of hospitalizations for atrial fibrillation has increased.6 Our study reveals that the expanding public health burden of atrial fibrillation is evident in the ED setting. Both the total number and population-adjusted rate of ED visits for atrial fibrillation have increased significantly during the last decade. Almost two-thirds of those patients were admitted to the hospital,
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Supervising editor: W. Brian Gibler, MD
Author contributions: AJM, PTE, and CAC designed the study. AJM was primarily responsible for article preparation, and all authors contributed substantially to its revision. AJP undertook data collection and statistical analyses. PTE and CAC obtained funding. AJM takes responsibility for the paper as a whole.
Funding and support: By Annals policy, all authors are required to disclose any and all commercial, financial, and other relationships in any way related to the subject of this article, that may create any potential conflict of interest. See the Manuscript Submission Agreement in this issue for examples of specific conflicts covered by this statment. The project was supported in part by the Emergency Medicine Foundation Center of Excellence Award (Dallas, TX) to Dr. Camargo and by grants from the Smith Family Foundation (Boston, MA) and the National Institutes of Health (Bethesda, MD) to Dr. Ellinor (HL-71632). None of the authors have any conflicts of interest to declare.
Publication dates: Available online April 27, 2007.
Reprints not available from the authors.