Table 2:

Relation between epidemic trajectory, resource availability and mortality

Resource scenario	No. of days until resource was unavailable			No. of deaths

	ICU beds	Ventilators	Ward beds	While waiting for needed resources	While receiving needed resources
Base case

Best case	Never	Never	Never	0	353

Expected	Never	Never	Never	0	528

Worst case	19	14	26	13 321	1060

Surge

Best case	Never	Never	Never	0	353

Expected	Never	Never	Never	0	528

Worst case	25	19	28	8605	2608

Vast increase

Best case	Never	Never	Never	0	353

Expected	Never	Never	Never	0	528

Worst case	34	27	Never	1876	4966