Table 2:

Relation between epidemic trajectory, resource availability and mortality

Resource scenarioNo. of days until resource was unavailableNo. of deaths
ICU bedsVentilatorsWard bedsWhile waiting for needed resourcesWhile receiving needed resources
Base case
 Best caseNeverNeverNever0353
 ExpectedNeverNeverNever0528
 Worst case19142613 3211060
Surge
 Best caseNeverNeverNever0353
 ExpectedNeverNeverNever0528
 Worst case25192886052608
Vast increase
 Best caseNeverNeverNever0353
 ExpectedNeverNeverNever0528
 Worst case3427Never18764966
  • Note: ICU = intensive care unit.