Table 4:

Performance of the 3 outcome-specific and general-outcome primary (20-condition) scores in 2 validation data sets*

OutcomeAdjusted score; C-index value (95% CI)Unadjusted score; C-index value (95% CI)
Cambridge outcome-specific scoreCambridge general-outcome scoreCharlson Comorbidity IndexCambridge outcome-specific scoreCambridge general-outcome scoreCharlson Comorbidity Index
Primary care consultations
2015, 1 yr0.727 (0.725–0.728)0.723 (0.722–0.725)0.691 (0.690–0.693)0.692 (0.691–0.694)0.690 (0.689–0.691)0.605 (0.603–0.606)
2011, 5 yr0.735 (0.734–0.736)0.729 (0.728–0.730)0.709 (0.708–0.711)0.669 (0.668–0.671)0.667 (0.665–0.668)0.585 (0.583–0.586)
Unplanned admissions
2015, 1 yr0.738 (0.732–0.743)0.735 (0.729–0.740)0.703 (0.697–0.709)0.733 (0.728–0.739)0.731 (0.726–0.737)0.660 (0.656–0.664)
2011, 5 yr0.708 (0.705–0.712)0.706 (0.703–0.709)0.683 (0.680–0.686)0.694 (0.691–0.698)0.692 (0.689–0.695)0.623 (0.621–0.625)
Mortality
2015, 1 yr0.910 (0.904–0.917)0.913 (0.907–0.920)0.907 (0.900–0.914)0.868 (0.857–0.879)0.880 (0.872–0.889)0.804 (0.792–0.815)
2011, 5 yr0.889 (0.885–0.892)0.891 (0.887–0.894)0.887 (0.883–0.890)0.795 (0.788–0.801)0.824 (0.819–0.830)0.742 (0.736–0.748)
  • Note: CI = confidence interval.

  • * Validation data sets: 2015 data set with 1 year of follow-up and 2011 data set with up to 5 years of follow-up, with the Charlson Comorbidity Index for comparison.

  • Scores adjusted by age and sex.

  • The general-outcome score was constructed by averaging the standardized weights of the 3 simple scores.