Table 2:

Logistic regression models for unplanned admissions to hospital

CovariateUnadjusted OR (95% CI)p value*Adjusted OR (95% CI)p value*
Male sex0.95 (0.92–0.99)0.011.22 (1.17–1.27)< 0.001
Age, yr< 0.001< 0.001
 20–340.83 (0.77–0.90)1.15 (1.05–1.24)
 35–440.85 (0.79–0.92)1.03 (0.95–1.12)
 45–541.00 (ref)1.00 (ref)
 55–641.45 (1.34–1.56)1.12 (1.04–1.21)
 65–742.38 (2.22–2.56)1.41 (1.30–1.52)
 ≥ 755.60 (5.24–5.98)2.59 (2.40–2.79)
Deprivation quintile< 0.001< 0.001
 1 (least deprived)1.00 (ref)1.00 (ref)
 21.29 (1.20–1.38)1.08 (1.00–1.18)
 31.45 (1.35–1.55)1.23 (1.13–1.33)
 41.68 (1.56–1.80)1.32 (1.21–1.43)
 5 (most deprived)2.07 (1.93–2.22)1.56 (1.43–1.70)
No. of physical conditions< 0.001< 0.001
 01.00 (ref)1.00 (ref)
 11.88 (1.76–2.01)1.70 (1.59–1.82)
 23.42 (3.20–3.65)2.69 (2.50–2.89)
 35.17 (4.83–5.54)3.47 (3.21–3.76)
 ≥ 410.60 (10.01–11.23)5.87 (5.45–6.32)
Mental health condition2.58 (2.48–2.69)< 0.0012.01 (1.92–2.09)< 0.001
  • Note: CI = confidence interval, OR = odds ratio, ref = reference.

  • * p values are based on joint tests, which test the overall differences between the individual categories of a given variable.

  • Adjusted for other variables listed in the table. The adjusted model includes a random effect for practice. Intraclass correlation coefficient for practice variation, 0.010. OR for 95% midrange of practice variation (i.e., 2.5 and 97.5 percentiles, compared with average practice), 0.70–1.42.