Table 2:

Expected and observed rates of myocarditis with observed-to-expected ratios within a 7-day risk window after SARS-CoV-2 vaccination

VariableObserved*ExpectedOE ratio (95% CI)
No. of casesNo. of vaccine dosesRate per 100 000 (95% CI)No. of casesPopulationRate per 100 000 (95% CI)
Overall9910 255 3850.97 (0.78–1.17)6.75 090 9550.13 (0.06–0.28)14.81 (10.83–16.55)
Sex
 Male804 891 0111.64 (1.30–2.04)2.42 571 7790.09 (0.02–0.34)33.74 (26.76–42.00)
 Female195 364 3740.35 (0.21–0.55)4.42 519 1760.18 (0.06–0.46)4.31 (2.59–6.73)
Age, yr
 12–1717644 7052.64 (1.54–4.22)0.2300 5730.08 (0.01–1.85)68.88 (40.12–110.28)
 18–29471 784 9502.63 (1.94–3.50)1.8822 0280.22 (0.03–0.88)26.25 (19.29–34.90)
 30–39141 624 1330.86 (0.47–1.45)1.5721 0550.21 (0.03–1.00)9.26 (5.06–15.54)
 40–4941 340 7460.30 (0.08–0.76)0.9647 7310.13 (0.00–0.86)4.58 (1.25–11.73)
 50–5951 420 6910.35 (0.11–0.82)0.8725 4120.10 (0.00–0.77)6.66 (2.16–15.53)
 60–6961 552 2750.39 (0.14–0.84)0.8660 6850.12 (0.00–0.84)7.83 (2.87–17.05)
 70–7931 228 1620.24 (0.05–0.71)1.1413 8880.26 (0.06–1.75)2.77 (0.57–8.11)
 ≥ 803659 7230.45 (0.09–1.33)0.3229 2600.14 (0.01–2.43)9.06 (1.87–26.48)
Vaccine
 Pfizer526 989 9210.74 (0.56–0.98)4.65 090 9550.09 (0.03–0.23)11.42 (8.53–14.97)
 Moderna473 265 4641.44 (1.06–1.91)2.15 090 9550.04 (0.00–0.14)22.09 (16.23–29.37)
Dose
 Dose 173 994 3800.18 (0.07–0.36)2.65 090 9550.05 (0.01–0.17)2.69 (1.08–5.54)
 Dose 2743 884 9871.90 (1.50–2.39)2.55 090 9550.05 (0.01–0.17)29.23 (22.95–36.69)
 Dose 3182 376 0180.76 (0.45–1.20)1.55 090 9550.03 (0.00–0.14)11.62 (6.89–18.37)
  • Note: CI = confidence interval, Moderna = mRNA-1273 (Moderna), OE = observed-to-expected, Pfizer = BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech).

  • * Myocarditis cases recorded within 7 days postvaccination between Dec. 15, 2020, and Mar. 31, 2022.

  • The background rates from 2019 were used to calculate the expected numbers.