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Analysis

How to pay for national pharmacare

Michael C. Wolfson and Steven G. Morgan
CMAJ November 26, 2018 190 (47) E1384-E1388; DOI: https://doi.org/10.1503/cmaj.180897
Michael C. Wolfson
Faculties of Medicine and Law (Wolfson), University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ont.; School of Population and Public Health (Morgan), University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC
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Steven G. Morgan
Faculties of Medicine and Law (Wolfson), University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ont.; School of Population and Public Health (Morgan), University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC
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    Table 1:

    Financing of prescription drugs with and without universal pharmacare in 2020*

    Total expenditureWithout pharmacare, $ billionsWith pharmacare, $ billionsChange
    Drugs on the national formulary
    Paid through taxes13.523.29.7
    Paid directly and through private insurance premiums14.30.5−13.9
    Subtotal: drugs on national formulary27.923.7−4.2
    Drugs not on the national formulary
    Paid through taxes1.41.40.0
    Paid directly and through private insurance premiums3.23.20.0
    Subtotal: drugs not on national formulary4.64.60.0
    Grand total32.528.3−4.2
    • ↵* Authors’ calculations based on estimates of the Parliamentary Budget Officer.12

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    Table 2:

    Major options for generating public funding needed to implement pharmacare in 2020*

    Revenue sourceTotal revenues expected in 2020, without pharmacare, $ billionsEstimated amount of funding raised by a 1 percentage point increase in tax rate, $ billionsPros and cons of tax instrument
    Personal income taxes175.27.7Pros: large revenue base; progressive
    Cons: collects from households only
    General and small business corporate income taxes49.42.5Pros: collects from corporations that will benefit from pharmacare; likely progressive
    Cons: potential issues with tax avoidance; strong business opposition
    GST40.67.9Pros: simple to administer
    Cons: collects from households only; regressive; politically unpopular
    Premiums––Pros: transparent
    Cons: collects from households only; regressive
    • Note: GST = Goods and Services Tax.

    • ↵* Authors’ calculations based on federal budget estimates and Parliamentary Budget Officer tools, including using the Social Policy Simulation Database and Model.1,21

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Canadian Medical Association Journal: 190 (47)
CMAJ
Vol. 190, Issue 47
26 Nov 2018
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How to pay for national pharmacare
Michael C. Wolfson, Steven G. Morgan
CMAJ Nov 2018, 190 (47) E1384-E1388; DOI: 10.1503/cmaj.180897

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How to pay for national pharmacare
Michael C. Wolfson, Steven G. Morgan
CMAJ Nov 2018, 190 (47) E1384-E1388; DOI: 10.1503/cmaj.180897
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    • What is the estimated cost of pharmacare?
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