Original article—liver, pancreas, and biliary tract
A Sustained Viral Response Is Associated With Reduced Liver-Related Morbidity and Mortality in Patients With Hepatitis C Virus

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cgh.2009.11.018Get rights and content

Background & Aims

The incidences of decompensated cirrhosis (defined by ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, or bleeding esophageal varices), hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and liver-related mortality among patients infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV) who achieve a sustained viral response (SVR), compared with patients who fail treatment (treatment failure), are unclear. We performed a meta-analysis to quantify the incidences of these outcomes.

Methods

This meta-analysis included observational cohort studies that followed HCV treatment failure patients; data were collected regarding the incidence of decompensated cirrhosis, HCC, or liver-related mortality and stratified by SVR status. Two investigators independently extracted data on patient populations, study methods, and results by using standardized forms. The agreement between investigators in data extraction was greater than 95%. Data analysis was performed separately for studies that enrolled only HCV patients with advanced fibrosis.

Results

We identified 26 appropriate studies for meta-analysis. Among treatment failure patients with advanced fibrosis, rates of liver-related mortality (2.73%/year; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.38–4.080), HCC (3.22%/year, 95% CI, 2.02–4.42), and hepatic decompensation (2.92%/year; 95% CI, 1.61–4.22) were substantial. Patients with SVR are significantly less likely than patients who experienced treatment failure to develop liver-related mortality (relative risk [RR], 0.23; 95% CI, 0.10–0.52), HCC (RR, 0.21; 95% CI, 0.16–0.27), or hepatic decompensation (RR, 0.16; 95% CI, 0.04–0.59).

Conclusions

HCV patients with advanced fibrosis who do not undergo an SVR have substantial liver-related morbidity and mortality. Achieving SVR is associated with substantially lower liver-related morbidity and mortality.

Section snippets

Literature Search

A computer-assisted search with the Ovid interface to Medline was conducted to identify potentially relevant published articles. A search of the Medline database from 1966 to 2008 was performed by using the exploded (exp) medical subject heading (MeSH) terms (exp Hepatitis C) AND (exp Treatment Failure OR exp Retreatment OR exp Recurrence OR exp Drug Resistance OR keywords refractory, relapse, retreatment, nonrespond, non-respond, fail, unsuccess). The results of all searches were limited to

Results of Literature Search

The computer-assisted search yielded more than 2276 potentially relevant articles (Supplementary Figure 1). After initial review of titles and abstracts, 215 studies were potentially appropriate, and abstracts were reviewed in detail. One hundred four studies were potentially appropriate and underwent full manuscript review along with 3 additional studies identified through recursive literature searches. After application of the inclusion and exclusion criteria, 26 studies were included in our

Discussion

Physicians and HCV-infected patients should understand the likelihood of developing decompensated cirrhosis, HCC, and liver-related mortality after failing therapy to make appropriate decisions about whether to undergo retreatment. Prognostic data should be stratified on the basis of severity of hepatic fibrosis. Stratifying natural history data by stage of hepatic fibrosis is important because more advanced fibrosis is associated with higher rates of liver-related morbidity and mortality.36

Acknowledgments

Drs Singal and Volk contributed equally to this work.

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    Conflicts of interest The authors disclose the following: Dr Jensen has served on advisory boards for Abbott, Boehringer-Ingelheim, Vertex, Pharmasset, Roche, Tiboetc, Human Genome Sciences, and Globeimmune and has been an investigator for Boehringer-Ingelheim, Vertex, Roche, Tibotec, and Human Genome Sciences. Dr Di Bisceglie served on advisory boards for Roche, Idenix, Novartis, Vertex, Bristol-Meyers-Squibb, Anadys, and GlobeImmune; has received research support from Roche, Gilead Sciences, Idenix, Vertex, Bristol-Meyers-Squibb, GlobeImmune; and is a speaker for Novartis and a consultant for Bristol-Myers-Squibb, Abbott, Schering Plough, and Pharmasset. Dr Volk has served on an advisory boards for Onyx Pharmaceuticals and has received grant support from Vertex. Dr Singal has worked as a consultant for Vertex Pharmaceuticals and MD-Evidence. Dr Schoenfeld has worked as consultant for Vertex Pharmaceuticals and is a partner in MD-Evidence.

    Funding This research was funded by Vertex Pharmaceuticals.

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