ArticlesRecombinant human erythropoiesis-stimulating agents and mortality in patients with cancer: a meta-analysis of randomised trials
Introduction
Erythropoiesis-stimulating agents increase haemoglobin concentrations, reduce the need for red blood cell transfusions, and could improve quality of life in patients with cancer.1, 2, 3 However, they have been reported to increase the risk of thromboembolic events2, 4 and might stimulate tumour growth.5 Uncertainty remains about whether and how these drugs affect survival; their safety has been discussed repeatedly at hearings of the US Food and Drug Administration and the European Medicines Agency.4, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12
Previous studies addressing this issue were literature-based meta-analyses of aggregated results that combined heterogeneous mortality endpoints and could not examine whether effects differed across subgroups—eg, patients with different haemoglobin concentrations at baseline.2, 3, 4 These limitations can be overcome in meta-analyses that are based on individual patient data, but up till now such meta-analyses have been small (230113 and 211214 patients), focused on epoetin beta or darbepoetin alfa, and were sponsored by the manufacturers.13, 14 Since erythropoiesis-stimulating drugs are widely used in patients with cancer, more definitive analyses of mortality in individuals randomly assigned to receive or not to receive these drugs are needed.
We therefore did a comprehensive meta-analysis that was based on the individual patient data from randomised controlled trials, including trials done by manufacturers of erythropoiesis-stimulating agents and independent investigators. Our objectives were to examine the effects of these drugs on the survival of patients with cancer and to identify factors that might modify such effects.
Section snippets
Patients and study selection
Main analyses were defined in a peer-reviewed protocol15 and a statistical analysis plan, and main analyses were done independently in two academic departments. A steering committee consisting of clinicians and methodologists reviewed results and agreed on their interpretation.
In eligible studies, epoetin or darbepoetin plus red blood cell transfusions (as necessary) were compared with red blood cell transfusions (as necessary) alone to prevent or treat anaemia in adult or paediatric patients
Results
We identified 63 eligible studies and 53 (84%) contributed individual patient data (figure 1). Three manufacturers of erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (Amgen, Johnson & Johnson, and Hoffmann-La Roche) and five independent investigators provided individual patient data.9, 22, 23, 24, 25 14 206 patients were included in the dataset; 273 (2%) were excluded for the following reasons: no study arm was allocated (n=164), they had leukaemia and were included in a separate stratum (n=98),26 or date of
Discussion
Erythropoiesis-stimulating agents caused an estimated 17% increase in mortality relative to control during the active study periods in all patients with cancer and a 10% increase in relation to control in those undergoing chemotherapy. There was little evidence for differences in effects across different patient groups and trials. In particular, although mortality during the active study periods was less markedly increased in patients given chemotherapy than those given other treatments, this
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