Table 3:

Performance of the clinical decision rule to identify skull fracture in young children with minor head trauma

Result with ruleDerivation cohortValidation cohort
FractureNo fractureTotalFractureNo fractureTotal
Positive4610415039109148
Negative36586615703708
Total4976281144812856
Sensitivity, % (95% CI)94 (83–99)89 (76–95)
Specificity, % (95% CI)86 (84–89)87 (84–89)
Positive predictive value, % (95% CI)31 (23–39)26 (19–34)
Negative predictive value, % (95% CI)100 (99–100)99 (98–100)
Positive likelihood ratio (95% CI)6.88 (5.67–8.34)6.60 (5.38–8.10)
Negative likelihood ratio (95% CI)0.07 (0.02–0.21)0.13 (0.06–0.30)
  • Note: CI = confidence interval.