Table 3:

Expected risk of death within 1 year after admission to hospital, by HOMR score*

HOMR scoreRisk of death (95% predictive interval)
< 210.2 (0.2–0.2)
211.0 (1.0–1.1)
221.2 (1.1–1.2)
231.4 (1.4–1.5)
241.7 (1.6–1.8)
252.2 (2.1–2.3)
262.7 (2.6–2.8)
273.3 (3.2–3.4)
284.2 (4.0–4.3)
294.9 (4.8–5.1)
306.3 (6.1–6.5)
317.7 (7.5–7.9)
329.4 (9.2–9.6)
3311.4 (11.2–11.6)
3413.6 (13.4–13.9)
3516.1 (15.8–16.4)
3619.9 (19.6–20.2)
3723.2 (22.9–23.5)
3827.1 (26.7–27.4)
3932.4 (32.0–32.7)
4037.2 (36.8–37.6)
4142.8 (42.3–43.2)
4246.2 (45.7–46.7)
4350.7 (50.2–51.3)
4453.0 (52.4–53.6)
4557.9 (57.3–58.6)
4663.3 (62.5–64.0)
4769.7 (68.9–70.6)
4874.3 (73.3–75.3)
4978.4 (77.2–79.5)
5080.6 (79.3–81.8)
5182.4 (80.9–83.8)
5286.3 (84.6–87.8)
5389.3 (87.4–90.9)
5491.1 (89.0–92.8)
5590.3 (87.9–92.2)
> 5596.9 (96.4–97.3)
  • Note: HOMR = Hospital-patient One-year Mortality Risk.

  • * For each HOMR score, the expected risk and 95% predictive interval (not confidence interval) was calculated by means of a random effects model that accounted for the multiple locations of the validation cohort (i.e., Ontario, Alberta and Boston [Brigham and Women’s Hospital]).